منابع مشابه
Macroeconomic Policies and Growth
‘Is there some action a government of Australia could take that would lead the Australian economy to grow like Korea’s or Taiwan’s? If so, what, exactly? If not, what is it about the ‘nature of Australia’ that makes it so? The consequences for human welfare involved in questions like these are simply staggering: Once one starts to think about them, it is hard to think about anything else’ (With...
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European Monetary Union (EMU) member countries’ forecasts are often combined to obtain the forecasts of the Euro area macroeconomic aggregate variables. The aggregation weights which are used to produce the aggregates are often considered as combination weights. This paper investigates whether using different combination weights instead of the usual aggregation weights can help to provide more ...
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This article aims to study the determinants of macroeconomic inertia in the euro area. To this end, it estimates a simple monetary DSGE model with private-sector learning, but which also includes more structural sources of inertia, such as habit formation in consumption and inflation indexation. Economic agents are assumed to form nearrational expectations and to learn the model parameters over...
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Sovereign risk premia have risen sharply in several European countries, contributed to increased credit spreads in the private sector. If monetary policy cannot offset these credit spreads because it is constrained by the zero lower bound, sovereign risk threatens macroeconomic stability: private-sector beliefs of a weakening economy may become self-fulfilling. In this paper, we put forward a t...
متن کاملForecasting Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables with Bayesian Adaptive Elastic Net
I use the adaptive elastic net in a Bayesian framework and test its forecasting performance against lasso, adaptive lasso and elastic net (all used in a Bayesian framework) in a series of simulations, as well as in an empirical exercise for macroeconomic Euro area data. The results suggest that elastic net is the best model among the four Bayesian methods considered. Adaptive lasso, on the othe...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Ekonomski izazovi
سال: 2019
ISSN: 2217-8821,2560-4805
DOI: 10.5937/ekoizazov1916021m